Journal of East China Normal University(Educational Sciences) ›› 2021, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 99-111.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.06.009
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Shoudeng Zhang, Congbin Guo
Online:
2021-06-20
Published:
2021-05-31
Shoudeng Zhang, Congbin Guo. Paper-setting of China’s College Entrance Examination: National or Provincial? Study on County-and Municipal-level Senior High School Students’ Fair Opportunities to Be Admitted into Elite Universities[J]. Journal of East China Normal University(Educational Sciences), 2021, 39(6): 99-111.
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省份 | 自主命题改革年份 | 全国命题改革年份 |
北京市 | 2002 | — |
天津市 | 2004 | — |
河北省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
山西省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
内蒙古自治区 | — | 一直全国命题 |
辽宁省 | 2004 | 2015 |
吉林省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
黑龙江省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
上海市 | 2000年以前 | — |
江苏省 | 2004 | — |
浙江省 | 2004 | — |
安徽省 | 2004 | 2016 |
福建省 | 2004 | 2016 |
江西省 | 2004 | 2015 |
山东省 | 2004 | 2018 |
河南省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
湖北省 | 2004 | 2016 |
湖南省 | 2004 | 2016 |
广东省 | 2004 | 2016 |
广西壮族自治区 | — | 一直全国命题 |
海南省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
重庆市 | 2004 | 2016 |
四川省 | 2006 | 2017 |
贵州省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
云南省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
西藏自治区 | — | 一直全国命题 |
陕西省 | 2006 | 2016 |
甘肃省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
青海省 | — | 一直全国命题 |
宁夏回族自治区 | — | 一直全国命题 |
新疆维吾尔自治区 | — | 一直全国命题 |
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(1) 2000—2018 | (2) 2000—2010 | (3) 2011—2018 | (4) 2011—2018 | |
是否自主命题 | ?0.002 | ?0.033** | 0.022 | 0.021 |
(0.012) | (0.015) | (0.014) | (0.016) | |
录取总人数 | ?0.001* | 0.001** | ?0.001 | ?0.000 |
(0.000) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
专项计划人数 | 0.003** | 0.003* | 0.003 | |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | ||
人均GDP | ?0.002** | 0.001 | ?0.002** | ?0.002* |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
生均教育事业费 | 0.011*** | 0.009*** | 0.003 | 0.003 |
(0.003) | (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
县级人口占比 | ?0.379*** | ?0.190 | ?0.194 | ?0.101 |
(0.137) | (0.126) | (0.352) | (0.354) | |
理科一本线占总分比 | 0.192 | |||
(0.137) | ||||
常数项 | 0.448*** | 0.267*** | 0.292 | 0.066 |
(0.066) | (0.070) | (0.234) | (0.262) | |
排除直辖市和西藏 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
观测数 | 493 | 286 | 207 | 200 |
R2 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.88 |
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(1) 2000—2018 | (2) 2000—2010 | (3) 2011—2018 | (4) 2011—2018 | |
是否自主命题 | ?160.582** | ?191.341** | ?152.579 | ?30.405 |
(76.106) | (82.551) | (101.133) | (106.396) | |
录取总人数 | 2.737* | ?1.607 | 0.867 | 0.995 |
(1.477) | (1.799) | (2.042) | (2.190) | |
专项计划人数 | ?23.452* | ?14.112 | ?10.417 | |
(12.436) | (11.727) | (12.136) | ||
人均GDP | ?16.212** | ?16.200** | ?18.448 | ?19.384 |
(8.063) | (7.174) | (15.431) | (17.207) | |
生均教育事业费 | 31.155** | 17.003 | 79.350* | 84.862* |
(15.508) | (22.536) | (43.063) | (45.120) | |
理科一本线占总分比 | ?3567.552*** | |||
(1327.690) | ||||
常数项 | ?301.188 | 1706.537** | ?510.686 | 1774.202 |
(539.646) | (712.507) | (972.453) | (1426.360) | |
观测数 | 589 | 341 | 248 | 237 |
R2 | 0.82 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
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