华东师范大学学报(教育科学版) ›› 2021, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (10): 77-102.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.10.007
李一杉1, 刘金松2
出版日期:
2021-10-20
发布日期:
2021-09-27
基金资助:
Yishan Li1, Jinsong Liu2
Online:
2021-10-20
Published:
2021-09-27
摘要:
伴随着学术发表竞争程度加剧,关于学术期刊在论文发表中偏爱内部人稿件的讨论逐渐增加,但是尚无实证研究探讨内部人稿件对教育研究学术论文的质量和影响力发挥了怎样的作用。利用2001年至2019年中国大陆教育类学术研究期刊发表的923901篇论文的数据和80位访谈对象提供的文本证据,基于“成本-收益”机制框架、理性决策视角和交易成本概念三者结合的理论逻辑推导分析,就内部人特征对学术论文质量和影响力的效应提出了一项假说与四项研究假设并通过定量分析与质性分析结合的混合研究模式进行验证。研究发现:(1)内部人稿件在大部分“时段*目录*下载/引用”板块中的影响力和质量均优于外部人稿件。(2)随时间由远及近,内部人效应在不同板块有不同的变动趋势,在CSSCI来源由负转正,在CSSCI扩展与北大核心由正转负,在普通期刊呈现区间波动。(3)内部人特征对质量产生的总效用中包含了一部分影响力的中介/间接效应,该中介/间接效应随板块不同而变动,并且存在遮掩效应,应重视影响力的中介/间接效应对价值发现的作用。(4)位于中低档区间的内部人特征较位于中高档区间的内部人特征呈现更多的负效应,中高档区间的内部人特征则较中低档区间的内部人特征呈现更多的正效应。(5)外部人特征中的伪内部人特征相对内部人特征在质量和影响力维度的效应呈现下降趋势,但优于真外部人特征,并不能简单以“垄断”作负面理解。(6)学术期刊、审稿人和论文作者对内部人稿件的看法及其相应行动随着个体内在特征和所处外部环境的不同而存在明显差异。综合前述分析,本研究认为不能简单地认定含有内部人特征的内部人稿件显著降低了学术论文的质量和影响力,需要具体情况具体分析。同时内部人特征在帮助学术期刊降低与论文作者之间的交易成本时,以内部人稿件占比在中低档增加和中高档减少作为代价,并且这种代价因板块不同而存在差异。基于上述研究结果,本研究站在程序公平和实质公平的角度对学术期刊提出了强化内部流程、提升决策绩效和优化质量与影响力的建议,对论文作者提出了增强研究水平和建立专业声誉的建议。
李一杉, 刘金松. 举贤不避亲:内部人特征降低了学术论文的质量和影响力吗?——以中国大陆教育学术期刊发表的923901篇论文为例[J]. 华东师范大学学报(教育科学版), 2021, 39(10): 77-102.
Yishan Li, Jinsong Liu. Relatives are not Avoided When Talents are Demanded: Does Insider Characteristics Reduce the Quality and Influence of Academic Papers? Examples from Mainland China[J]. Journal of East China Normal University(Educational Sciences), 2021, 39(10): 77-102.
表 1
样本容量"
分样本 | 2001—2003 | 2004—2006 | 2007—2009 | 2010—2012 | 2013—2015 | 2016—2019 | 总计 |
CSSCI来源 | 17481 | 21892 | 26818 | 22480 | 20636 | 24391 | 133698 |
内/外数量 | 1641/15840 | 2033/19859 | 2191/24627 | 2092/20388 | 1739/18897 | 1850/22541 | 11546/112152 |
CSSCI扩展 | 无 | 无 | 8134 | 13916 | 11493 | 13149 | 46692 |
内/外数量 | 无 | 无 | 682/7452 | 868/13048 | 654/10839 | 796/12353 | 3000/43692 |
北大核心 | 19666 | 47458 | 56638 | 50976 | 61712 | 63036 | 299486 |
内/外数量 | 1118/18548 | 1924/45534 | 1620/55018 | 1808/49168 | 2410/59302 | 2488/60548 | 11368/288118 |
普通期刊 | 56403 | 54113 | 62571 | 79828 | 88499 | 102611 | 444025 |
内/外数量 | 5889/50514 | 6100/48013 | 7252/55319 | 7890/71938 | 7500/80999 | 8298/94313 | 41929/401096 |
总计 | 93550 | 123463 | 154161 | 167200 | 182340 | 203187 | 923901 |
内/外数量 | 8648/84902 | 10057/113406 | 11745/142416 | 12658/154542 | 12303/170037 | 13432/189755 | 67843/845058 |
表 2
控制变量"
变量 | 含义 | 变量 | 含义 |
摘要长度 | 论文摘要字数(及其平方项) | 关键词数 | 论文关键词数(及其平方项) |
论文页数 | 依同年《教育研究》做标准化调整 (及其平方项) | 作者人数 | 论文的作者人数(及其平方项) |
参考文献 | 参考文献的数量(及其平方项) | 标题长度 | 论文标题字数(及其平方项) |
标题类型 | 副标题结构,是=1,否=0 | 核心作者 | 以期刊类别分3年一段后进行识别, 是=1,否=0 |
发表时段 | 分年初、年中和年末,标记为1/2/3 | 刊内位置 | 分刊首、刊中和刊尾,标记为1/2/3 |
月份对数 | 发表时间距获取时间间隔的对数 (及其平方项) | 所处地域 | 归类至地市级行政区,格式为“A省a市” |
匿名审稿 | 以期刊发布匿名审稿通知为准 | 研究领域 | 依中图分类号分570类,优先排序第一与教育类 |
论文类别 | 实证=1,思辨=0,机器学习分类 | 影响因子 | 两年期标准复合影响因子,收集自中国知网 |
单位类型 | 分44类,以校院二级的层级和性质划分 | 研究资助 | 是否有研究资助及其类别,分5类 |
人大复印 | 获得转载=1,未获转载=0,目录匹配 | 期刊*年份*月份 | 发表期刊*发表年份*发表月份的交互项 |
表 3
各“目录*时段”板块内部人稿件与外部人稿件的篇均下载量与引用量和占比"
分样本 | 内/外指标 | 2001—2003 | 2004—2006 | 2007—2009 | 2010—2012 | 2013—2015 | 2016—2019 |
CSSCI来源 | 篇均下载 | 689.94/436.58 | 725.02/558.51 | 768.81/635.81 | 886.64/794.89 | 982.81/933.78 | 814.02/706.42 |
篇均引用 | 35.83/22.89 | 25.08/20.79 | 17.86/16.35 | 16.69/17.37 | 16.81/17.31 | 8.81/7.17 | |
百分比% | 9.39/90.61 | 9.29/90.71 | 8.17/91.83 | 9.31/90.69 | 8.43/91.57 | 7.58/92.42 | |
CSSCI扩展 | 篇均下载 | 无 | 无 | 421.79/383.83 | 408.47/400.31 | 441.02/423.67 | 310.10/376.35 |
篇均引用 | 10.67/8.92 | 8.91/8.35 | 8.73/7.95 | 2.71/4.05 | |||
百分比% | 8.38/91.62 | 6.24/93.76 | 5.69/94.31 | 6.05/93.95 | |||
北大核心 | 篇均下载 | 200.15/146.23 | 349.11/215.87 | 341.30/234.78 | 286.54/249.16 | 245.09/223.47 | 236.07/228.53 |
篇均引用 | 6.99/5.49 | 10.72/7.11 | 8.58/5.77 | 5.06/4.99 | 4.37/3.77 | 2.53/2.34 | |
百分比% | 5.68/94.32 | 4.05/95.95 | 2.86/97.14 | 3.55/96.45 | 3.91/96.09 | 3.95/96.05 | |
普通期刊 | 篇均下载 | 147.28/121.47 | 206.91/187.23 | 221.83/203.03 | 198.64/181.27 | 158.35/136.75 | 136.37/155.06 |
篇均引用 | 5.20/4.32 | 6.22/5.80 | 4.89/4.25 | 3.99/3.51 | 2.78/2.37 | 1.67/1.63 | |
百分比% | 10.44/89.56 | 11.27/88.73 | 11.59/88.41 | 9.88/90.12 | 8.47/91.53 | 8.09/91.91 |
表 4
基准OLS回归模型"
基准OLS | CSSCI来源 | CSSCI扩展 | 北大核心 | 普通期刊 | ||||||||
时段/因变量 | 影响力 | 质量 | 影响力 | 质量 | 影响力 | 质量 | 影响力 | 质量 | ||||
2001—2003 | ?0.045 (0.047) | ?0.038 (0.038) | 无 | 无 | 0.028 (0.053) | 0.01 (0.049) | ?0.084*** (0.022) | ?0.073*** (0.019) | ||||
2004—2006 | ?0.07** (0.028) | ?0.088* (0.043) | 无 | 无 | 0.028 (0.028) | 0.018 (0.039) | ?0.021 (0.017) | ?0.017 (0.016) | ||||
2007—2009 | ?0.075*** (0.028) | ?0.061** (0.038) | 0.003 (0.044) | 0.062 (0.051) | 0.043 (0.037) | 0.049 (0.042) | ?0.018 (0.019) | ?0.019 (0.014) | ||||
2010—2012 | ?0.038 (0.027) | ?0.042 (0.034) | ?0.08** (0.03) | ?0.024 (0.028) | ?0.022 (0.032) | ?0.014 (0.035) | ?0.038** (0.018) | 0.002 (0.015) | ||||
2013—2015 | 0.011 (0.027) | 0.051 (0.033) | ?0.061** (0.029) | ?0.036 (0.042) | ?0.07** (0.03) | ?0.019 (0.019) | ?0.01 (0.016) | 0.003 (0.013) | ||||
2016—2019 | 0.021 (0.02) | 0.084*** (0.022) | ?0.043 (0.041) | ?0.013 (0.034) | ?0.043* (0.025) | ?0.015 (0.02) | ?0.015 (0.015) | 0.005 (0.009) |
表 5
稳健性检验Tobit回归模型"
Tobit模型 | CSSCI来源 | CSSCI扩展 | 北大核心 | 普通期刊 | ||||||||
时段/因变量 | 影响力 | 质量 | 影响力 | 质量 | 影响力 | 质量 | 影响力 | 质量 | ||||
2001—2003 | ?0.044 (0.048) | ?0.043 (0.046) | 无 | 无 | 0.028 (0.053) | 0.058 (0.071) | ?0.084*** (0.022) | ?0.085*** (0.03) | ||||
2004—2006 | ?0.07** (0.028) | ?0.094** (0.048) | 无 | 无 | 0.028 (0.031) | 0.051 (0.049) | ?0.021 (0.017) | ?0.014 (0.022) | ||||
2007—2009 | ?0.075*** (0.027) | ?0.069* (0.042) | 0.003 (0.044) | 0.057 (0.055) | 0.043 (0.037) | 0.053 (0.049) | ?0.018 (0.019) | ?0.023 (0.019) | ||||
2010—2012 | ?0.037 (0.027) | ?0.053 (0.038) | ?0.08** (0.03) | ?0.024 (0.032) | ?0.026 (0.043) | ?0.014 (0.035) | ?0.038** (0.018) | 0.004 (0.019) | ||||
2013—2015 | 0.012 (0.027) | 0.046 (0.036) | ?0.061** (0.048) | ?0.055 (0.042) | ?0.07** (0.03) | ?0.019 (0.025) | ?0.01 (0.016) | 0.008 (0.018) | ||||
2016—2019 | 0.021 (0.02) | 0.116*** (0.023) | ?0.043 (0.041) | ?0.043 (0.048) | ?0.043* (0.025) | ?0.02 (0.32) | ?0.02 (0.015) | ?0.002 (0.016) |
表 6
KHB算法的中介效应分析"
KHB模型 | CSSCI来源 | CSSCI扩展 | 北大核心 | 普通期刊 | ||||
2001—2003 | ?0.038 ?0.028 | ?0.01 73.68% | 无 | 0.01 0.013 | ?0.003 433.33% | ?0.073*** ?0.023** | ?0.051*** 31.51% | |
2004—2006 | ?0.088*** ?0.068** | ?0.02 77.27% | 无 | 0.017 0.018 | ?0.001 1800% | ?0.019 ?0.009 | 0.010 90% | |
2007—2009 | ?0.061** ?0.079*** | 0.017 464.71% | 0.062* 0.003 | 0.059 5.09% | 0.049** 0.03 | 0.019 61.23% | ?0.02* ?0.007 | ?0.013 35% |
2010—2012 | ?0.042** ?0.042** | 0.000 100% | ?0.024 ?0.075*** | 0.051* 147.06% | ?0.01 ?0.011 | 0.001 1100% | 0.002 ?0.015* | 0.017 88% |
2013—2015 | 0.05*** 0.013 | 0.037** 26% | ?0.036 ?0.057** | 0.022 259.09% | ?0.019 ?0.037** | 0.028 132.14% | 0.003 0.000 | 0.003 0% |
2016—2019 | 0.084*** 0.015 | 0.069*** 17.86% | ?0.013 ?0.027 | 0.014 192.86% | ?0.015 ?0.01 | ?0.005 200% | 0.005 ?0.005 | 0.01 200% |
图 3
分位数回归QR:伪内部人效应 注:由上至下分别CSSCI来源、CSSCI扩展、北大核心和普通期刊,每张图由下至上分别是Q5/Q15/Q25/Q40/Q50/Q60/Q75/Q85/Q95分位数,白为影响力伪内部人效应,黑为质量伪内部人效应。考虑到本文关注内部人,且伪内部人由外部人分出,因此并未列出伪内部人相对外部人的优劣势。本表结果通过相反数正负互换可以与前述图2实现比较,即同一板块内,伪内部人与外部人特征相对内部人特征的优劣势,例如“在2001—2003时段CSSCI来源目录的模型组中,在控制其他变量后,内部人特征相对于外部人特征与伪内部人特征在下载量方面分别存在−8.8%和−7.2%的劣势”,依此类推。"
表 7
各“时段*目录”板块的不同下载量/引用量区间中内部人稿件的占比(%)"
目录 | 区间(%) | 2001—2003 | 2004—2006 | 2007—2009 | 2010—2012 | 2013—2015 | 2016—2019 |
CSSCI来源 | 0-25 | 4.25/6.06 | 6.83/8.22 | 6.55/7.7 | 8.72/11.28 | 7.58/9.25 | 5.48/7.22 |
25-50 | 9.31/7.94 | 8.62/8.62 | 7.09/7.62 | 8.42/8.26 | 7.81/7.54 | 7.5/7.32 | |
50-75 | 9.08/10.91 | 9.32/8.94 | 8.64/8.02 | 9.27/8.74 | 8.82/8.55 | 8.64/7.94 | |
75-100 | 14.9/11.95 | 12.37/11.36 | 10.41/9.33 | 10.82/8.95 | 9.5/8.37 | 8.72/7.87 | |
CSSCI扩展 | 0-25 | 无 | 无 | 5.8/6.05 | 5.35/4.83 | 6.75/7.1 | 9.43/9.22 |
25-50 | 8.16/7.92 | 7.19/6.35 | 5 6.3/6.65 | 4.68/5.96 | |||
50-75 | 9.19/8.95 | 6.38/6.67 | 7.52/6.93 | 4.98/4.56 | |||
75-100 | 10.38/10.63 | 6.04/7.1 | 2.16/2.05 | 5.11/4.47 | |||
北大核心 | 0-25 | 4.58/4.45 | 2.18/2.42 | 2.27/2.6 | 3.85/3.88 | 3.74/3.64 | 4.29/4.16 |
25-50 | 6.41/4.47 | 3.33/3.75 | 2.51/2.68 | 3.19/3.56 | 3.6/3.93 | 3.56/3.78 | |
50-75 | 4.29/6.69 | 4.37/4.38 | 2.54/2.66 | 3.15/3.08 | 3.93/4 | 4.03/3.81 | |
75-100 | 7.47/7.12 | 6.33/5.66 | 4.12/3.5 | 4/3.64 | 4.36/4.04 | 3.91/4.03 | |
普通期刊 | 0-25 | 8.7/8.22 | 10.13/9.18 | 10.46/8.9 | 6.89/6.23 | 5.78/6.12 | 6.84/6.81 |
25-50 | 11.2/9.25 | 10.69/10.68 | 11.26/10.96 | 9.57/8.63 | 8.89/7.98 | 8.01/8.3 | |
50-75 | 12.79/11.54 | 11.75/12.91 | 12.12/12.68 | 10.18/10.2 | 9.45/9.33 | 9.12/8.53 | |
75-100 | 13.7/12.75 | 12.55/12.35 | 12.49/12.93 | 10.39/11.29 | 9.83/10.42 | 8.39/8.7 |
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