Journal of East China Normal University(Educational Sciences) ›› 2021, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 112-125.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.06.010
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Yingxuan Li1, Yi Fang2
Online:
2021-06-20
Published:
2021-05-31
Yingxuan Li, Yi Fang. Educational Fiscal Policy Interaction and Regional Coordinated Development: A Perspective of Spatial Spillover Effect[J]. Journal of East China Normal University(Educational Sciences), 2021, 39(6): 112-125.
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变量 | 平均 | 标准差 | 峰度 | 偏度 | 最小值 | 最大值 | 单位 |
生均教育投入 | ?1.711 | 1.254 | 0.031 | ?0.326 | ?8.919 | 1.557 | 万元/万人 |
产业结构 | ?0.869 | 0.255 | 2.766 | ?0.792 | ?2.456 | ?0.227 | % |
经济基础 | ?0.219 | 1.140 | ?0.296 | 0.160 | ?3.187 | 2.889 | 亿元 |
人口密度 | ?1.415 | 1.173 | 0.700 | ?0.231 | ?5.930 | 2.114 | 万人/平方公里 |
财政预算 | ?2.583 | 1.397 | ?0.213 | ?0.099 | ?6.753 | 1.183 | 元/万人 |
基础设施 | 0.927 | 0.894 | 0.043 | 0.153 | ?2.151 | 3.993 | 万平方米/万人 |
分权程度 | ?0.906 | 0.948 | 0.159 | 0.119 | ?3.702 | 2.055 | % |
人力资本 | ?4.731 | 1.020 | 0.055 | 0.237 | ?9.442 | ?1.934 | % |
官员晋升 | 0.273 | 0.445 | ?0.955 | 1.022 | 0.000 | 1.000 | — |
经济增长 | 11.362 | 4.078 | 3.695 | ?0.593 | ?15.070 | 31.700 | % |
政策惯性 | 11.104 | 1.183 | ?0.064 | ?0.055 | 4.248 | 14.740 | 亿元 |
官员教育 | 0.976 | 0.154 | 36.075 | ?6.168 | 0.000 | 1.000 | — |
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变量 | 模型(1) | 模型(2) | 模型(3) | 模型(4) | 模型(5) |
OLS | 地理权重 | 人口权重 | 地理权重 | 人口权重 | |
| 0.480*** | 0.076** | 0.413*** | 0.070* | |
产业结构 | ?0.086** | ?0.067 | ?0.093** | ?0.073* | ?0.090** |
经济基础 | 0.251*** | 0.148** | 0.235*** | 0.158** | 0.234*** |
人口密度 | 0.137*** | 0.125*** | 0.145*** | 0.148*** | 0.164*** |
财政预算 | ?0.044* | ?0.064*** | ?0.041* | ?0.061*** | ?0.042* |
基础设施 | ?0.078*** | ?0.068*** | ?0.078*** | ?0.073*** | ?0.078*** |
分权程度 | 0.585*** | 0.599*** | 0.580*** | 0.546*** | 0.529*** |
产业结构交叉项 | ?0.686* | 0.236* | ?1.015** | 0.197 | |
经济基础交叉项 | 0.586 | 0.484*** | 0.119 | 0.465*** | |
人口密度交叉项 | 0.244* | ?0.139*** | 0.226 | ?0.099** | |
财政预算交叉项 | 0.716*** | ?0.007 | 0.767*** | ?0.005 | |
基础设施交叉项 | ?0.800*** | ?0.091* | ?0.829*** | ?0.075 | |
分权程度交叉项 | ?1.02*** | ?0.013 | ?1.143*** | 0.000 | |
人力资本 | ?0.012 | ?0.018 | |||
官员晋升 | 0.011 | 0.009 | |||
经济增长 | ?0.004** | ?0.002 | |||
政策惯性 | 0.166*** | 0.164*** | |||
官员教育 | ?0.054 | ?0.061 | |||
人力资本交叉项 | 0.229 | ?0.078 | |||
官员晋升交叉项 | ?0.221** | 0.035 | |||
经济增长交叉项 | ?0.003 | 0.001 | |||
政策惯性交叉项 | 0.050 | ?0.011 | |||
官员教育交叉项 | ?0.624 | ?0.098 | |||
样本量 | 2910 | 2910 | 2910 | 2910 | 2910 |
| 0.297 | 0.937 | 0.936 | 0.940 | 0.938 |
调整 | 0.296 | 0.313 | 0.302 | 0.340 | 0.326 |
| 0.055 | 0.057 | 0.058 | 0.055 | 0.056 |
| 139.202 | 112.100 | 195.202 | 162.664 | |
WALD空间滞后检验 | 48.955*** | 21.529*** | 59.031*** | 17.606* | |
WALD空间误差检验 | 51.074*** | 22.485*** | 60.024*** | 18.723* | |
LR空间滞后检验 | 57.855*** | 23.499*** | 67.903*** | 19.311* | |
LR空间误差检验 | 61.667*** | 24.428*** | 70.557*** | 20.286** |
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变量 | 模型(2) | 模型(3) | 模型(4) | 模型(5) | |
地理权重 | 人口权重 | 地理权重 | 人口权重 | ||
直接效应 | 产业结构 | ?0.073* | ?0.091** | ?0.083** | ?0.087** |
经济基础 | 0.155** | 0.243*** | 0.161** | 0.240*** | |
人口密度 | 0.128*** | 0.144*** | 0.151*** | 0.164*** | |
财政预算 | ?0.057** | ?0.041* | ?0.057** | ?0.042* | |
基础设施 | ?0.075*** | ?0.079*** | ?0.080*** | ?0.078*** | |
分权程度 | 0.591*** | 0.581*** | 0.540*** | 0.529*** | |
人力资本 | ?0.009 | ?0.018 | |||
官员晋升 | 0.009 | 0.009 | |||
经济增长 | ?0.004** | ?0.002 | |||
政策惯性 | 0.168*** | 0.164*** | |||
官员教育 | ?0.057 | ?0.062* | |||
空间溢出效应 | 产业结构 | ?1.438* | 0.248* | ?1.841** | 0.195 |
经济基础 | 1.298 | 0.536*** | 0.271 | 0.503*** | |
人口密度 | 0.593** | ?0.137*** | 0.493** | ?0.094** | |
财政预算 | 1.338*** | ?0.011 | 1.267*** | ?0.009 | |
基础设施 | ?1.634*** | ?0.100* | ?1.487*** | ?0.086 | |
分权程度 | ?1.424*** | 0.034 | ?1.572*** | 0.038 | |
人力资本 | 0.376 | ?0.086 | |||
官员晋升 | ?0.388** | 0.039 | |||
经济增长 | ?0.009 | 0.001 | |||
政策惯性 | 0.210 | 0.000 | |||
官员教育 | ?1.115 | ?0.112 | |||
总效应 | 产业结构 | ?1.511** | 0.157 | ?1.924*** | 0.108 |
经济基础 | 1.453 | 0.779*** | 0.432 | 0.743*** | |
人口密度 | 0.72** | 0.007 | 0.644*** | 0.070 | |
财政预算 | 1.281*** | ?0.052 | 1.209*** | ?0.051 | |
基础设施 | ?1.709*** | ?0.179*** | ?1.567*** | ?0.164*** | |
分权程度 | ?0.833* | 0.614*** | ?1.032** | 0.567*** | |
人力资本 | 0.367 | ?0.105 | |||
官员晋升 | ?0.378** | 0.048 | |||
经济增长 | ?0.013 | ?0.001 | |||
政策惯性 | 0.378 | 0.164*** | |||
官员教育 | ?1.171 | ?0.175 |
"
变量名称 | 模型(6) | 模型(7) | 模型(8) | 模型(9) | 模型(10) | 模型(11) |
全域 | 全域 | 东部 | 东部 | 中西部 | 中西部 | |
2004—2010 | 2011—2018 | 2004—2010 | 2011—2018 | 2004—2010 | 2011—2018 | |
| 0.178 | 0.325*** | 0.306** | 0.174 | 0.266** | 0.286** |
样本量 | 1358 | 1552 | 476 | 544 | 882 | 1008 |
WALD空间滞后检验 | 13.089** | 43.317*** | 12.543* | 17.205*** | 13.682** | 50.335*** |
WALD空间误差检验 | 14.806** | 46.727*** | 12.087* | 21.926*** | 14.541** | 48.393*** |
LR空间滞后检验 | 16.618** | 57.194*** | 16.005** | 24.530*** | 16.759** | 60.095*** |
LR空间误差检验 | 18.140*** | 61.921*** | 15.806** | 28.605*** | 17.436*** | 59.215*** |
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