华东师范大学学报(教育科学版) ›› 2022, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (4): 1-15.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2022.04.001

• 特稿 •    

因果推断、科学证据与教育研究——兼论2021年诺贝尔经济学奖得主的教育研究

黄斌1, 李波2   

  1. 1. 南京大学教育研究院,南京 210023
    2. 南京财经大学公共管理学院,南京 210023
  • 接受日期:2022-01-12 出版日期:2022-04-01 发布日期:2022-03-29
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金教育学一般课题“县域义务教育学校教师校际交流补偿机制研究”(BFA190054)

Causal Inference, Scientific Evidence, and Educational Research: Discussion on the Educational Research of Nobel Laureates in Economics in 2021

Bin Huang1, Bo Li2   

  1. 1. Institute of Education, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
    2. School of Public Administration, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210023, China
  • Accepted:2022-01-12 Online:2022-04-01 Published:2022-03-29

摘要:

近三十年来,因果推断方法取得长足发展,已成为社会科学研究的主流量化方法,在教育量化研究中亦有着非常广泛的应用。2021年,诺贝尔经济学奖授予戴维?卡德、乔舒亚?D?安格里斯特与吉多?W?因本斯,以表彰他们在推动因果推断方法发展与应用方面所做出的贡献。本文以此为切入点,先讨论教育研究兼具人文关怀和科学理性的双重属性,阐明获取有效的因果证据对推动教育科学研究发展的重要意义,再详细介绍诺奖得主在教育收益率、小班化教学效果、学校投入对学生认知能力发展的影响等方面所取得的重要研究成果,最后对当前我国教育因果推断研究所存在的问题进行讨论并提出建议。

关键词: 因果推断, 科学证据, 教育研究, 诺贝尔经济学奖

Abstract:

In recent thirty years, causal inference method has become the mainstream method of quantitative research in social science and has been widely used in the field of education. In 2021, the Nobel Economics Prize was awarded to David Card, Joshua D. Angrist, and Guido W. Imbens for their contributions to promoting the development of causal inference methods. Taking the causal inference research of the three economists in the field of education as the starting point, firstly, this paper discusses the dual attributes of educational research, which have both humanistic care and scientific rationality, and expounds the significance of obtaining effective causal evidence in promoting the development of educational science research. Secondly, this paper introduces in detail the important research findings made by the three Nobel Prize winners in the aspects of Return to Education, the effect of Small Class Teaching, and the effect of school investment on the development of students’ cognitive ability. Lastly, this paper discusses the existing problems and future improvement direction of educational causal studies in China.

Key words: causal inference, scientific evidences, educational research, Nobel Economics Prize