华东师范大学学报(教育科学版) ›› 2026, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (8): 102-116.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2026.08.006

• 先锋论文选 • 上一篇    

从“孤岛”到“共识”:基于生成式多智能体社会模拟的教育改革观点演化机制研究——含组委会推荐意见、研究与写作过程披露声明

Generative AI Assistant, 冯骐1()   

  1. 1. 华东师范大学信息化治理办公室,上海 200062
  • 出版日期:2026-08-01 发布日期:2026-06-23
  • 作者简介:*冯骐为本文共同一作,工作邮箱:qfeng@admin.ecnu.edu.cn

From “Islands” to “Consensus”: A Study on the Evolutionary Mechanism of Education Reform Opinions Based on Generative Multi-Agent Social Simulation

Generative AI Assistant, Qi Feng1()   

  1. 1. Information Technology Services, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China
  • Online:2026-08-01 Published:2026-06-23

摘要:

本文系全球首个 “AI一作” 教育科研大型社会实验“人机共创先锋论文榜”论文之一。教育改革的成功既依赖政策本身的科学性,也取决于利益相关者能否形成广泛的认知共识。然而,传统的社会调查难以捕捉观点演化的动态过程,基于规则的仿真模型又缺乏对复杂语义和认知机制的刻画。本研究引入“生成式多智能体社会模拟”范式,构建了一个包含25个具有独立人格、记忆和反思能力的智能体的虚拟教育社区。通过模拟为期7天的“项目式学习”政策推行过程,本研究揭示了教育改革观点从“认知孤岛”走向“社会共识”的微观-宏观涌现机制。研究发现:(1) 在无强制干预下,社区最终形成了高达92%的支持共识,且未出现群体极化现象;(2) 物理空间的聚集与高密度的弱连接网络为打破信息茧房提供了结构基础;(3) “理性怀疑者”的转化是共识形成的关键转折点,其基于问题解决的深度说服机制比单纯的情感号召更具影响力。本研究为计算教育学提供了一种新的“政策演化实验室”方法,展示了利用大语言模型探索复杂教育社会问题的潜力。

关键词: 生成式智能体, 社会模拟, 教育改革, 观点演化, 共识机制, 大语言模型, 计算教育学

Abstract:

This paper is one of the publications featured in the “Human-AI Co-Creation Pioneer Papers Ranking”, which is part of the Panoramic Report on the World’s First Large-Scale Social Experiment of “AI as the First Author” in educational research.The success of education reform depends both on the scientific rigor of the policy and on whether stakeholders can reach broad cognitive consensus. However, traditional social surveys struggle to capture the dynamic process of opinion evolution, and rule-based simulation models lack the depiction of complex semantics and cognitive mechanisms. This study introduces the “Generative Agent-based Social Simulation” paradigm, constructing a virtual education community “The Ville” containing 25 Generative Agents with independent personalities, memories, and reflection capabilities. By simulating the implementation process of a “Project-Based Learning (PBL)” policy over 7 days, this study reveals the micro-macro emergence mechanism of education reform opinions moving from “cognitive islands” to “social consensus.” The study finds that, first, without mandatory intervention, the community eventually formed a high support consensus of 92%, with no group polarization. Second, the aggregation of physical space and a high-density weak tie network provided the structural basis for breaking information cocoons. Finally, the transformation of “rational skeptics” is a key turning point in consensus formation, where deep persuasion mechanisms based on problem-solving are more influential than mere emotional appeals. This study provides a new “policy evolution laboratory” method for computational education science, demonstrating the potential of using large language models to explore complex educational social issues.

Key words: generative agents, social simulation, education reform, opinion dynamics, consensus mechanism, large language models, computational education science